| Baseball Guide
s must start for a total wager to have action. If one, or both, of the listed pitchers do not start, then a wager on a total has no action, and all bets are refunded.
A game must go 9 innings (8 1/2 if the home team is leading after that point) for a total wager to have action. Games called before this point will not have total action, and all total bets will be refunded.
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RUN LINES
Run Lines are generally considered by books to be a prop bet on a baseball game thus, while a bettor can parlay sides and totals, most books will not allow parlays involving run lines.
The concept of a run line involves a team getting 1 1/2 runs (the underdog) while the favorite must give up 1 1/2 runs, a money line is then attached to the 1 1/2 runs. For a favorite to win on the run line, the team must then win by 2 runs.
The price on a favorite will usually be expressed as a positive line (the same as a side underdog) because the team must win by 2 runs. The money line attached to the team getting 1 1/2 runs will usually be a negative (the same as a favorite side), because the team can still lose a 1 run game and come through for a bettor.
An example of a run line would be:
Atlanta - 1 1/2 +120
NY Mets + 1 1/2 - 140
In the above example, if you bet Atlanta would win by 2 runs or more, you would receive $1.20 for every $1.00 bet on a winning wager.
If you bet that the Mets would win, or lose by less than two runs, you would have to risk $1.40 for every $1.00 you wanted to win.
The same rules that apply for totals apply for run lines: listed pitchers must start, and the game cannot be called early.
VALUE IN THE LINES
A common question that arises when betting on baseball, is what constitutes a good line? Most of the time (though the Yankees were well over average in 1998, and the Marlins below) baseball teams will win between 40% - 60% of their games. The baseball bettor must determine what they believe are the chances of a team beating another in a given situation, and then relate that to what price is being given by the bookmakers.
The following is a breakdown of what percentage of plays at a given price must win, just for a bettor to break even:
| Underdog | | Favorite | | | | % Needed | | % Needed | | | | | | | The Line | To Win | The Line | To Win | | 110 | 52.4 | -110 | 52.4 | | Even | 50.0 | -120 | 54.6 | | +110 | 47.6 | -130 | 56.5 | | +120 | 45.5 | -140 | 58.5 | | +130 | 43.5 | -150 | 60.2 | | +140 | 41.7 | -160 | 61.7 | | +150 | 40.0 | -170 | 62.9 | | +160 | 38.5 | -180 | 64.5 | | +170 | 37.0 | -200 | 66.7 | | +180 | 35.7 | -220 | 69.0 | | +200 | 33.3 | -240 | 70.4 | | +220 | 31.3 | -260 | 72.5 | | +240 | 29.4 | -280 | 73.5 | 
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